Decisions Under Uncertainty: Reduce Risk, Raise Confidence
Classify choices as reversible or irreversible. Treat most as two-way doors, move quickly, and learn cheaply. This posture builds confidence because the cost of being wrong is designed to be small. Ask your team which decision this week can be a two-way door.
Decisions Under Uncertainty: Reduce Risk, Raise Confidence
Before launching, imagine the project failed. List reasons, then counter them with safeguards. Anxiety quiets when risks are named and addressed. Try a 15-minute pre-mortem and share one mitigation you’ll implement immediately.
Decisions Under Uncertainty: Reduce Risk, Raise Confidence
Record the context, options, assumptions, and predicted outcome. Revisit later to compare predictions with results. Patterns reveal where your judgment shines or needs tuning. Confidence grows from calibrated thinking. Start a shared team journal to multiply learning.